Serra Macaense vs Angra dos Reis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 0
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
FRI
37%
25%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BON
2 - 0
SER
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
CAA
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Angra dos Reis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ANG
0 - 1
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
ANG
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 3
SAM
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
NCI
2 - 1
ANG
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ANG
2 - 1
AFC
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |