Serra FC vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SER
1 - 5
ITU
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 1
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 0
URT
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
URT
2 - 1
TUP
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
URT
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |