Serpa vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EDL
2 - 0
SER
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
OLM
7%
13%
80%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
IMO
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
SER
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +4 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
SPC
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IDA
0 - 2
SPC
7%
14%
79%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
VIT
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |