Serle vs Pian Camuno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
76%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+580%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
SER
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
ORA
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OME
1 - 0
SER
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
GIO
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 4
CAZ
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Pian Camuno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PIA
1 - 1
LOD
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
PIA
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
GAV
83%
11%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 3
PIA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 2
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |