Serinya A A vs Castellfollit A A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+155%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serinya A A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 1
SER
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SER
4 - 0
LLI
46%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
OLO
0 - 0
SER
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 3
SAN
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 1
SER
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Castellfollit A A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 0
COR
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
OSO
4 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAN
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAS
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 7
RIP
18%
18%
64%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |