Serinya A vs Cellera A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serinya A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LLI
2 - 4
SER
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ABA
3 - 2
SER
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
OSO
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SER
4 - 1
CAM
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cellera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 2
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ABA
2 - 5
CEL
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
OSO
54%
21%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
CEL
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
SPB
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |