Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-1
Sergipe vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 7
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
3 - 0
OSE
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
CDC
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
SOC
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 4
NAU
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |