Sergipe vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SER
1 - 3
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
BOC
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 0
SER
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 4
AFP
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 0
MAR
54%
21%
24%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AME
6 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +2 |