Sergipe vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
CUI
10%
20%
70%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 3
SER
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
20%
20%
60%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 3
ATG
46%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
7 - 2
AMP
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +2 |