Sergipe vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.3%
2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
RFC
1 - 2
SER
9%
15%
76%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
74%
16%
11%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
CRZ
7 - 0
SER
83%
12%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 3
SER
7%
15%
78%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
SER
0 - 1
CRZ
21%
23%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
OSE
1 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |