Sergipe vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 0
SDJ
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 1
FLU
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 2
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 0
FLU
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |