Sergipe vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
SER
4 - 0
SAM
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
MIX
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
NAC
6 - 0
SER
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
PAY
1 - 0
SER
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
SER
0 - 2
REM
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CSA
1 - 0
FLA
70%
20%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
FLA
0 - 1
SPO
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
FLA
1 - 0
ABC
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
CEA
2 - 1
FLA
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |