Sergipe vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 2
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
SER
2 - 2
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CON
2 - 4
SER
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 3
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 2
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 1
CSA
55%
24%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CSA
2 - 2
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |