Sergipe vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
BAH
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
BOT
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
38%
27%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
ARN
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
AFP
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
AMA
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
64%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |