Sergipe vs Amadense analysis

Sergipe Amadense
51 ELO 30
6.1% Tilt -9.2%
4924º General ELO ranking 27484º
166º Country ELO ranking 801º
ELO win probability
78.3%
Sergipe
14.3%
Draw
7.4%
Amadense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
Sergipe
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
Amadense
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sergipe
-49%
-4%
Amadense

ELO progression

Sergipe
Amadense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sergipe
Sergipe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2015
ITA
Itabaiana
0 - 1
Sergipe
SER
24%
27%
49%
51 39 12 0
18 May. 2014
SER
Sergipe
1 - 2
Socorrense
SOC
74%
17%
9%
51 39 12 0
15 May. 2014
SOC
Socorrense
1 - 1
Sergipe
SER
24%
25%
51%
51 38 13 0
11 May. 2014
SER
Sergipe
2 - 0
Coritiba SE
COR
82%
13%
5%
51 22 29 0
08 May. 2014
EST
Estanciano
0 - 4
Sergipe
SER
31%
25%
44%
51 41 10 0

Matches

Amadense
Amadense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2015
AMA
Amadense
1 - 2
Lagarto
LAG
42%
24%
35%
31 34 3 0
11 May. 2014
CDC
Canindé
3 - 1
Amadense
AMA
27%
23%
50%
34 22 12 -3
08 May. 2014
AMA
Amadense
2 - 1
Itabaiana
ITA
42%
25%
33%
33 37 4 +1
04 May. 2014
SER
Sergipe
4 - 0
Amadense
AMA
76%
15%
8%
33 51 18 0
01 May. 2014
AMA
Amadense
3 - 0
Olímpico SE
OSE
75%
16%
9%
33 15 18 0