Sergipe vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
SER
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
SOC
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 1
SER
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
COR
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
EST
0 - 4
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
LAG
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CDC
3 - 1
AMA
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SER
4 - 0
AMA
76%
15%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 0
OSE
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |