Sergipe vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
LAG
0 - 0
SER
17%
19%
64%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SER
1 - 0
RFC
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
OSE
0 - 1
SER
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 0
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AMA
3 - 0
LAG
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
RFC
2 - 3
AMA
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AMA
1 - 2
OSE
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
AMA
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
AMA
1 - 0
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |