Sergipe U20 vs Dorense U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+248%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
GSE
0 - 2
SER
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
SER
4 - 0
BSE
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
SER
3 - 0
MAD
44%
24%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 1
SER
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Dorense U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
DOR
0 - 0
ADC
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 1
DOR
46%
22%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |