Sered vs Podkonice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
2º
39
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HBB
1 - 0
SER
13%
25%
62%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SZK
0 - 3
SER
4%
11%
85%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
OKC
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KNH
0 - 2
SER
5%
19%
76%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SER
4 - 0
VRA
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Podkonice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 1
POD
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HBB
0 - 1
POD
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POD
0 - 0
NOV
75%
15%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
DET
0 - 3
POD
12%
16%
73%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OKC
3 - 1
POD
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |