Serbia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GEO
1 - 3
SRB
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
LTU
1 - 0
GEO
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
GER
3 - 0
LTU
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 2
BEL
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
LTU
0 - 2
SYM
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 0
BIH
46%
24%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |