Uefa Youth League Knock-outs 1/64
Global 4-1
Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Akademia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SEP
3 - 2
SOK
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 4
SEP
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SEP
4 - 2
VIB
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NAT
3 - 1
SEP
15%
18%
68%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SEP
1 - 2
CMV
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |