Septemvri Simitli vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SOZ
1 - 0
SEP
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SEP
0 - 1
DOB
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NEF
2 - 1
SEP
73%
17%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
SEP
0 - 4
BOT
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SEP
2 - 2
LOK
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DOB
1 - 1
DUN
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 0
LOK
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
4 - 0
BGA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 0
OBO
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |