Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 0
SLI
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 0
SLI
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
SEP
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
SEP
38%
29%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSK
3 - 1
KAL
82%
13%
4%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHB
2 - 0
CSK
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 3
CSK
12%
21%
67%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
SSO
0 - 1
CSK
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |