Bulgaria Third Division Southwest - Promotion Round 10

1 - 1

27 MAY 2023 21:00

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Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Etropole analysis


42	ELO	52
-3.1%	Tilt	-8.6%
6762º	General ELO ranking	19478º
64º	Country ELO ranking	120º
ELO win probability

20.6%

Septemvri Simitli

23.7%

Draw

55.8%

Chavdar Etropole

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

20.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%

23.7%

Draw

0-0

6.8%

1-1

11.3%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

23.7%

55.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

6º

10º

9º

3º

7º

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	43	22	1º	100%
2º	33	21	2º	100%
4º	28	15	3º	93.5%
3º	29	14	4º	93.5%
6º	19	13	5º	69%
5º	21	13	6º	69%
8º	19	12	7º	69%
7º	19	11	8º	93.5%
10º	17	11	9º	93.5%
9º	18	5	10º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Septemvri Simitli

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 May. 2023	BAL 5 - 2 SEP 41% 26% 33%	44	41	3	0
14 May. 2023	SEP 2 - 1 BAN 38% 27% 35%	43	46	3	+1
06 May. 2023	SLI 0 - 2 SEP 40% 27% 34%	41	39	2	+2
29 Apr. 2023	SEP 0 - 1 MAR 16% 23% 62%	42	56	14	-1
22 Apr. 2023	CHA 0 - 0 SEP 71% 18% 11%	42	51	9	0

Matches

Chavdar Etropole

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 May. 2023	CHA 1 - 1 VIH 49% 26% 26%	52	50	2	0
13 May. 2023	KOS 0 - 1 CHA 16% 22% 62%	52	37	15	0
06 May. 2023	CHA 2 - 1 FKK 45% 26% 29%	51	51	0	+1
01 May. 2023	CSK 3 - 2 CHA 59% 23% 19%	52	58	6	-1
22 Apr. 2023	CHA 0 - 0 SEP 71% 18% 11%	51	42	9	+1