Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Byala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 0
SEP
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 0
AKA
41%
26%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 3
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
PIR
3 - 1
SEP
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chavdar Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
PIR
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
CHA
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLI
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
ETA
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
VIH
5 - 3
CHA
69%
21%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |