Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Byala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
SEP
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 1
BOT
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 2
SEP
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
SEP
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 0
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chavdar Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAL
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
CHA
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
PIR
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BVR
3 - 0
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |