Septemvri Simitli vs Botev Ihtiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEP
65%
21%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SEP
0 - 2
HEB
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SEP
0 - 2
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SEP
3 - 1
PIR
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 1
SEP
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
SLI
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GER
1 - 0
BOT
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
FKM
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
4 - 1
BAL
47%
21%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 0
BOT
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |