Sepsi vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
6º
5º
49
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 3
CSU
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
0 - 1
SSG
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
CLU
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CSI
1 - 2
SSG
24%
24%
53%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 2
RAP
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 1
STB
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 0
CSU
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
STB
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 3
STB
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |