Sepsi vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
6º
6º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
3 - 0
CLU
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
1 - 2
CSU
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CLU
2 - 1
SSG
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
2 - 0
RAP
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
4 - 1
MIO
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
CLU
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
STB
2 - 1
SFC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 2
CSU
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 1
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |