Romanian Cup Semi-finals
Global 8-1
Sepsi vs Politehnica Iași analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
DBU
1 - 3
SSG
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
SSG
1 - 2
VOL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
SSG
1 - 1
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
SSG
2 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
SSG
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Politehnica Iași
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
VOL
1 - 0
CSM
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
CSM
0 - 1
ARG
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
CSM
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CSM
1 - 0
DBU
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CSM
3 - 2
CSU
19%
23%
59%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |