Senegal vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DZA
0 - 0
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MDG
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MRT
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
3 - 0
COD
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
UGA
76%
16%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
DZA
7%
18%
75%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ZAF
2 - 1
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |