Senegal vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SEN
7 - 0
MUS
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
COD
2 - 4
SEN
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 0
CPV
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
DEN
2 - 0
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
KSA
1 - 0
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
OMA
1 - 0
GAB
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
BFA
1 - 1
GAB
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 2
GAB
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
GAB
3 - 0
TOG
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |