CAF U20 Last 16
Global 4-1
Senegal U20 vs Tunisia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
SEN
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 3
MLI
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
5 - 0
SEN
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
UZB
0 - 1
SEN
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
UKR
1 - 1
SEN
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
SEN
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 1
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NIG
1 - 1
TUN
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
TUN
3 - 0
NIG
78%
14%
7%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 2
TUN
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |