Sendas EC vs Itaperuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sendas EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SEC
4 - 0
MES
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
SEC
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 2
BON
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 1
SEC
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SEC
3 - 2
SCR
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Itaperuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
BAR
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BON
2 - 0
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
AFC
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SCR
1 - 0
ITA
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
SAO
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |