Sendas EC vs Itaperuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sendas EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 2
SEC
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
SEC
1 - 1
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
SEC
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SEC
0 - 2
SAM
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
SEC
3 - 0
AFC
62%
20%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Itaperuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 2
BON
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
SEC
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GOY
0 - 0
ITA
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 2
SAM
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |