Sendas EC vs Aperibeense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sendas EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
SCR
0 - 1
SEC
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 1
SAO
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
SEC
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SEC
2 - 2
TFC
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 0
SEC
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Aperibeense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BON
3 - 0
AFC
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
MES
3 - 0
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
SCR
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 2
AFC
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |