Selwyn United vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
9º
6
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CHR
6 - 0
SUF
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 5
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
SUF
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
7 - 1
SUF
84%
10%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 1
SUF
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
NOM
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
COA
2 - 0
FCT
86%
9%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
FCT
96%
3%
1%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FCT
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |