Selva Cañera vs Universidad Michoacana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
SEL
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
4 - 2
HID
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 0
PAT
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 1
CAN
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 3
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Michoacana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 4
MAL
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CUA
1 - 1
MIC
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 3
CHI
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GLA
5 - 2
MIC
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 5
CHE
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |