Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Selva Cañera vs Univ. Aut. de Hidalgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
HID
0 - 1
SEL
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
3 - 1
CEN
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SEL
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 1
SEL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
3 - 2
HID
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Aut. de Hidalgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
HID
0 - 1
SEL
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HID
2 - 2
MIC
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MIC
1 - 2
HID
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
HID
2 - 2
LOB
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
3 - 2
HID
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |