Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Final
Global 0-7
Selva Cañera vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
MIN
5 - 0
SEL
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 1
HID
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
HID
0 - 1
SEL
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
3 - 1
CEN
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SEL
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
MIN
5 - 0
SEL
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
5 - 3
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -3 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
3 - 0
ASL
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 1
TOP
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TOP
1 - 2
MIN
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |