Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Selva Cañera vs Centro Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SEL
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 1
SEL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
3 - 2
HID
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ZIT
1 - 4
SEL
18%
23%
58%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 1
MIC
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Centro Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SEL
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MIC
2 - 1
CEN
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
ART
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 2
PAT
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 3
CEN
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |