Selston vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
77.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 1
LON
5%
12%
83%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 2
SLE
19%
20%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SKE
2 - 0
SEL
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ANN
2 - 0
SEL
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
HEA
2 - 1
SEL
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 2
HOL
91%
7%
2%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SLE
0 - 4
GRE
17%
18%
65%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
QUO
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SEL
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
LON
17%
19%
65%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |