Zambia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SYC
82%
14%
5%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 4
ZAM
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
MWI
4 - 2
ZAM
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ZAM
4 - 2
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 2
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
CMR
5 - 3
ZIM
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ZIM
1 - 2
EGY
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ZIM
0 - 0
SLV
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 2
ZIM
24%
27%
50%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |