Zambia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
COD
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
ZAM
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CPV
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CIV
16%
22%
61%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 1
CPV
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 1
ALG
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TUN
2 - 1
EGY
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |