Zambia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 2
KOR
20%
27%
54%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
6 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
7%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ETH
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
KEN
0 - 2
ZAM
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 2
GAM
71%
20%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
TUN
22%
27%
51%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
TUN
0 - 1
KSA
44%
29%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 0
KEN
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
NGA
2 - 2
TUN
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |