Zambia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
BFA
2 - 1
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2002 |
MLI
1 - 1
ZAM
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
ETH
1 - 2
ZAM
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZAM
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 4
ANG
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 1
CMR
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
TUN
7 - 2
LBR
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
TUN
1 - 1
SUI
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
TUN
2 - 2
ALG
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |