WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Zambia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
23%
25%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
3 - 0
ZAM
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ZAM
20%
25%
56%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
SDN
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 0
SDN
59%
25%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDN
1 - 0
SLE
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |