Zambia vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 1
ZAM
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 0
KEN
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2008 |
ZAM
3 - 0
DJI
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 0
ZAM
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
COD
0 - 0
ZAM
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 0
SDN
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2008 |
KEN
0 - 0
SDN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 3
SDN
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |