Zambia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 3
ZAM
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SLE
0 - 2
ZAM
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CIV
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ZAM
11%
18%
72%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 3
ZAM
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 2
MOZ
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MLI
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 3
MOZ
19%
22%
60%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SWZ
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |