Zambia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
JPN
4 - 3
ZAM
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 1
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZAM
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
ZAM
92%
7%
1%
|
78 | 97 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MOZ
2 - 1
TAN
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
TAN
2 - 2
MOZ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
SSD
0 - 0
MOZ
36%
24%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |