Zambia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
RSA
1 - 3
ZAM
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TOG
3 - 1
ZAM
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 2
ZAM
21%
24%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 1
ZAM
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
TAN
0 - 1
MOZ
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ZIM
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MOZ
0 - 0
SEN
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MOZ
3 - 0
BFA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MOZ
5 - 4
ZIM
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |